9:41
PROBABLE 010,000

Make the market

Daily goal0 / 3 hands

Finish 3 hands today for 200 bonus chips.

Signed in as – ·

10,000

Single player

Market
Market
Round length
10,000

How to play

  1. 1Every hand is a yes/no question about a real past event. A YES contract pays 100 chips if it happens and 0 if it doesn’t.
  2. 2You run the market. Drag the ladder to set the price you buy at (orange) and sell at (blue). Tap it to change the gap.
  3. 3For 3–5 minutes news comes in and traders deal with you. Ordinary traders pay you the gap. Sharp traders catch prices that the news has made wrong.
  4. 4At the end the real result settles every contract. Buying low then selling higher builds a combo for bonus chips.
62A price is a probability: 62 means the market thinks there’s a 62% chance.
Probable Casino

A casino where every bet is a trade on real news, and every round teaches you how markets work.

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Players

10,000
Hand 1

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YES pays 100NO pays 0
  1. 1Set the price you’d buy at and the price you’d sell at.
  2. 2For 3 minutes, news comes in and traders deal at your prices.
  3. 3Then the real result settles every trade.
×5Buy low, then sell higher (or the reverse) to build a combo. Get picked off by a sharp trader and it resets.

Numbers are rescaled so you can’t look the release up.
Sealing the outcome…

3:00 Combo ×0

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Position
Flat
P&L now
0
If NO 0If YES 0
You buy47
spread 6
You sell53
IDEAL
SELL53
spread 6
BUY47
The result
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0
Trading0
Combo bonus0

Today’s leaderboard
Same news, same traders
your pricefair price

Which release was this?

Source
Seal shown before the hand

                
                

                
Prototype figures were entered from memory. Check them against the source before relying on them.

              

            

            

              
              
            

          

        


        

        

          

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